With a final flurry, candidates focus on turnout
By Mike Glover, Associated Press, 01/24/00 DES MOINES, Iowa -- After a final flurry, Republican and Democratic presidential candidates shifted attention to delivering backers to tonight's leadoff nominating caucuses, and the front-runners publicly fretting that many of their supporters might not bother turning out.
"The only thing that will deter turnout is complacency. That's why we're campaigning right to the end," Republican George W. Bush said as he stopped at a Des Moines restaurant to shake hands this morning. Vice President Al Gore sent his Democratic supporters a similar message over the weekend, although polls showing Bush and Gore well in front suggested there wasn't much suspense about the outcome. Gore started today on a lower key, talking with Washington High School students in Cedar Rapids about the importance of participating in democracy. "If you don't like the candidates who are running, run yourself," he told them. Gore's staff was scrambling to book a band for what they hoped would be a celebratory blowout at the Des Moines fairgrounds tonight. Some of the other contenders, meanwhile, were shifting attention to the nation's first primary in New Hampshire and other tests beyond. Republican Steve Forbes declared today he would "feel good about a good, strong second" in Iowa, because "here you get that boost for New Hampshire." Nevertheless, Republican Sen. John McCain expressed no regrets about his decision to skip Iowa to concentrate on that Feb. 1 primary. "People of New Hampshire don't pay a great deal of attention to what happens in Iowa," McCain said today as he awaited his rivals in New Hampshire, where polls show him in a tight race with Bush. Dismissing any suggestion a poor showing might be reason to step aside, Gore's challenger, Bill Bradley, said a lengthy primary battle would strengthen whichever Democrat wins. "The longer the competition goes, the better chance that candidate is going to have ... in the fall," Bradley said today on ABC's "Good Morning America." At a caucus workshop Sunday, Gore warned against "the slightest hint of complacency" that his lead in the polls could bring. "All of the cheering and clapping and slogans and speeches will amount to nothing compared with what you do," Gore told supporters. "One of the things I love about the Iowa caucus is that it measures depth of commitment." Texas Gov. Bush said today he was used to the "great expectations" surrounding his campaign but, "I'm taking nothing for granted." Bush said Sunday he was concerned "that people will say `George W. has got it, so I don't need to go out and vote.' We need as big a vote as possible." Candidates trailing Gore and Bush in the polls sought solid enough finishes to keep their campaigns alive, and a few hoped for a surprise that could build some steam heading into the New Hampshire primary. Bradley urged a college crowd to join "the move going forward" by showing up at Democratic caucuses. He was resigned to trailing the vice president in Iowa but hinted he might do better than expected here. "We could surprise a few people because you decide to go out and make that extra effort in the next 24 hours," Bradley told backers. Forbes, who was closest to Bush in Republican polls, predicted on CBS' "Early Show" today a "very strong showing" behind Bush. "I'm going to emerge tonight as the conservative candidate," said Forbes, who flew around the state Sunday lashing out at "the power brokers and the establishment" in the GOP. "That worries them in Washington -- they have no hooks in me," said Forbes. With religious conservatives playing a big role in Iowa GOP politics, Republican hopefuls focused on churches Sunday. "You are not called by God to be a Republican," conservative activist Gary Bauer told one congregation. "You were called on by God to be a Christian citizen." The campaigning came against the backdrop of a new poll published by the Des Moines Sunday Register. That survey of 1,200 likely caucus-goers showed Gore with the backing of 56 percent of those surveyed, compared with 28 percent for Bradley. Focusing on turnout in a heavily Democratic Des Moines neighborhood, Gore did some door-to-door campaigning, with mixed results. "You can count on us, we're good Democrats," said Gail Hackett. But Mike Edwards said he was leaning more toward Bradley the outsider because Gore "has been in the thick of it for the last eight years." On the Republican side, Bush was favored by 43 percent and Forbes by 20 percent in the Sunday Register poll. The survey, taken Jan. 16-21, had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The other GOP candidates all posted single digits. Forbes worked hard to court social and religious conservatives, but he faced competition from Bauer, former ambassador Alan Keyes and Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch. Bauer has the better campaign organization, but Keyes was getting increasingly bigger crowds in the closing days. |